Election Projections & Analysis
Riding-level projections, interactive maps, and polling analysis for Canadian federal and provincial elections
Canada's most comprehensive electoral database. Every general election since 1867, federal and all 10 provinces, riding-by-riding, candidate-by-candidate.
Paired with interactive simulators for every supported election. Re-run any historical campaign, build hypothetical scenarios, or convert today's polls into riding-level seat projections through a hybrid swing model.
Proven 2025 track record: leading absolute-seat-count accuracy among Canadian federal projections, with riding-level accuracy within one percent of the established benchmark. Built and maintained by one person.
Canada
Federal Election
343 seats in the House of Commons
Provincial Elections
British Columbia
93 seats
Alberta
87 seats
Saskatchewan
61 seats
Manitoba
57 seats
Ontario
124 seats
Quebec
125 seats
New Brunswick
49 seats
Nova Scotia
55 seats
Prince Edward Island
27 seats
Newfoundland and Labrador
40 seats
United Kingdom
General
Explore Our Tools
Everything you need to understand the upcoming election
Seat Projections
Riding-level projections with confidence intervals from Monte Carlo simulation
Electoral Map
Interactive map showing projected winners across all 343 federal ridings
Poll Tracker
Latest polling data with trend charts and pollster analysis
Election Simulator
Create your own projection by adjusting party support levels
Riding Finder
Search and explore all constituencies with detailed breakdowns
Historical Data
Past election results and electoral trends over time
Virtual Election
Don't believe the polls? Show us your vote!
About Poliwave
Poliwave provides riding-level electoral projections using advanced statistical modeling, historical election analysis, and current polling data. Our Monte Carlo simulations generate probability distributions for seat outcomes.
Poliwave does not conduct polls. Projections are statistical estimates based on publicly available polling data.