Election Projections & Analysis
Election projections for democracies around the world. Pick any country on the map to open its seat forecast, polls, historical results, and simulator.
Each country is coloured by the party leading its latest projection. Click a country to open it — grey means a projection is on the way.
Explore Our Tools
The maps, polls, and simulators behind the projections
World Election Simulator
Project results across every country Poliwave covers from one interactive world map — swing any party and watch seats change live.
Seat Projections
Constituency-level projections with confidence intervals from Monte Carlo simulation
Electoral Map
Interactive map showing projected winners across all 343 federal constituencies
Poll Tracker
Latest polling data with trend charts and pollster analysis
Election Simulator
Create your own projection by adjusting party support levels
Constituency Finder
Search and explore all constituencies with detailed breakdowns
Historical Data
Past election results and electoral trends over time
Virtual Election
Don't believe the polls? Show us your vote!
About Poliwave
Poliwave takes today's polls and turns them into a seat projection for every constituency, using past results and a swing model. It runs the election thousands of times to show the range of likely outcomes, not just a single number.
Canada is the most detailed jurisdiction — every federal election since 1867, all 10 provinces, down to each riding. In 2025 Poliwave produced the most accurate seat count of any Canadian federal projection, with riding-level accuracy within a point of the established benchmark. Built and run by one person.
Poliwave does not conduct polls. Projections are statistical estimates based on publicly available polling data.