Election Projections & Analysis
Riding-level projections, interactive maps, and polling analysis for Canadian federal and provincial elections
Canada
Federal Election
seats in the House of Commons
Provincial Elections
British Columbia
Alberta
Saskatchewan
Manitoba
Ontario
Quebec
New Brunswick
Nova Scotia
Prince Edward Island
Newfoundland and Labrador
Explore Our Tools
Everything you need to understand the upcoming election
Seat Projections
Riding-level projections with confidence intervals from Monte Carlo simulation
Electoral Map
Interactive map showing projected winners across all 343 federal ridings
Poll Tracker
Latest polling data with trend charts and pollster analysis
Election Simulator
Create your own projection by adjusting party support levels
Riding Finder
Search and explore all constituencies with detailed breakdowns
Historical Data
Past election results and electoral trends over time
About Poliwave
Poliwave provides riding-level electoral projections using advanced statistical modeling, historical election analysis, and current polling data. Our Monte Carlo simulations generate probability distributions for seat outcomes.
Poliwave does not conduct polls. Projections are statistical estimates based on publicly available polling data.